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Middleweights

Brad Tavares (12-1, 7-1 UFC) vs. Yoel Romero Palacio (7-1, 3-0 UFC)

The Matchup: With seven wins in eight Octagon appearances, Tavares continues his quiet ascent in the middleweight division. The 26-year-old Hawaiian captured the most significant win of his run in January, outpointing gifted striker Lorenz Larkin at UFC Fight Night 35. Tavares was in prime form, using his boxing to attack Larkin’s body and head while periodically mixing in leg kicks. In addition, he kept “The Monsoon” from getting too comfortable by landing a pair of takedowns.

Palacio, meanwhile, earned his third consecutive knockout inside the Octagon by stopping Derek Brunson 3:23 into the third round of their UFC Fight Night 35 clash. The victory was not without peril, however, as Brunson rattled the Cuban with a head kick in round one and took down the 2000 Olympic silver medalist three times. Still, raw power allowed Palacio to persevere, as it often has in the 36-year-old’s blossoming MMA career. Despite being one of the most decorated wrestlers to step into the Octagon, Romero has yet to land a takedown in UFC competition. Meanwhile, both Brunson and Ronny Markes have been able to get the Olympian to the canvas. Romero has not needed his wrestling, however, as his explosive bursts of aggression on the feet have been enough to carry him to victory.

Tavares has displayed a granite chin and good composure thus far in his career, making him an interesting foil for Romero, who often thrives on overwhelming opponents. Tavares’ boxing is basic, backed by one-two combinations, body work and fairly heavy hands, but he has not scored a knockout since he stopped the battle-worn Phil Baroni in his second UFC bout. He has won his last five fights via decision. “The Ultimate Fighter 11” alum’s durability should serve him well against Palacio, who could fade down the stretch if he is unable to hurt Tavares early. The Hawaiian also has outstanding takedown defense: He denied former NCAA All-American wrestler Aaron Simpson on 13 of 15 attempts in his lone career setback at UFC 132. Normally, Tavares uses his defensive wrestling to keep fights standing, but his ability to land timely takedowns against striking-minded foes has been beneficial, as well.

While not as versatile in the standup as Larkin, Romero is probably the best blend of striking and wrestling that Tavares has faced to date, although it remains to be seen if “The Soldier of God” is willing to return to his roots if he finds himself losing exchanges.

The Pick: This is an intriguing matchup, in part, because it feels like both fighters still have room for improvement. Tavares is only 26, while Romero, despite being 10 years his senior, is relatively new to the sport. Tavares’ toughness and takedown defense give him a slight edge here. The Hawaiian wins a narrow decision.

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